FOMC minutes update- 31 July 2019

  • The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate today for the first time in a decade to try to counter threats ranging from uncertainties caused by President Donald Trump’s trade wars to chronically low inflation and a dim global outlook.
  • The Fed also repeated a pledge to “act as appropriate to sustain the expansion” — wording that the financial markets have interpreted as a signal of possible future rate cuts.
  • Powell has also expressed concern about undesirably low inflation. In delivering the Fed’s semiannual monetary report to Congress, he noted that the central bank needs to prevent the economy from sinking into a low-inflation trap like the one that has bedeviled Japan’s economy for more than two decades.
  • In addition to its rate cut, the Fed also said it would stop shrinking its enormous bond portfolio in August, two months earlier than planned. This step is intended to avoid putting upward pressure on long-term borrowing rates.
  • Another key concern expressed by the Powell Fed is that Trump’s pursuit of trade conflicts, with his punishing tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars in Chinese and European goods, have escalated uncertainties for American companies.
  • Federal funds futures implied traders see about a 76% chance the U.S. central bank would lower key lending rates again at its Sept. 17-18 policy meeting.

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